Donald Trump is celebrating his 80th birthday with a mixed martial arts bout on the White House lawn and announcing peace in Iran. The first is unprecedented. The latter, however, has happened countless times in recent months. I say about announcing peace in Iran and the reopening of Hormuz. Of course, if this time were the final one, it would be historic. And new.
In these four months there have been too many bombastic announcements by Trump ending the war that the Iranians took ten minutes to deny to not take this latest announcement with caution. Come on, hasn’t Trump said many times that this war against Iran that he himself started was already won, and then it turned out that it wasn’t. If this ceasefire is definitive, it would put an end to a war that since January has caused thousands of deaths and has shaken the world economy.
“Ships of the world, start your engines!” Trump wrote on his social network. “Let the oil flow!” exclaimed the US president, boasting that the agreement with Iran is already underway. The price of oil has plummeted with the announcement and the stock markets are celebrating. However, the Strait of Hormuz is not scheduled to reopen until Friday. The truth is that if its reopening finally materializes, it would leave things as they were before the war began.
The official ceremony for the signing of the peace will be in Switzerland. Although, by the way, they have not yet resolved some of the thorniest issues, such as the future of the Iranian nuclear program and the lifting of sanctions on Tehran. Issues on which neither of the two countries has shown a willingness to give in. Additionally, Iran demands an end to the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, something Israel has so far refused to do. These are unanswered questions that have been postponed for a new round of negotiations. The parties give themselves 60 days to finalize the agreement, we will see if it is final.
Moral?
Both sides boast of victory
Let’s hope that peace is not illusory
