Haizam Amirah Fernández, executive director of the Center for Contemporary Arab Studies (CEARC), has criticized in more than one the communication policy of the US government of Donald Trump after his spokesperson announced an “important” statement about the war in Iran so that everyone is aware of them and taking into account the consequences that each of his words has on the markets.
Amirah Fernández comments that it seems that this attitude of the White House is part of a “show” and that “it does not seem serious” considering that what is at stake is an economic crisis of global dimensions and when what has begun is “a war in a highly explosive zone without clear objectives.”
Regarding what the president of the United States could specifically announce in his speech tonight, Amirah fears that if there is a ceasefire it will be “a false closure” because it is very difficult to meet the negotiating conditions that both the US and Iran were proposing.
Situation of the Strait of Hormuz
Regarding the blockade situation in the Strait of Hormuz, Amirah Fernández has explained that all the war simulations with Iran prior to this war contemplated the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and that it is not necessary to bomb all the ships that pass through there to cause chaos, but it is enough for one ship to be affected for all the shipping companies and insurance companies to decide not to pass through and alter all international trade.
Iran currently says that it has not closed the Strait of Hormuz because ships from uninvolved countries pass through it, which is in practice, as Amirah argues, a kind of customs that increases the economic cost and fear of those who have the power to move the ships and in this way the Iranian regime de facto controls this choke point for international trade and energy.
Abrupt and severe consequences on the world economy
Amirah considers that Netanyahu has much clearer objectives than the US, which seeks the collapse of the Iranian regime and is focused on its project of a greater Israel, something that will not be easy to put into practice because we have to see what chain reactions there are in the region.
In this sense, he has warned that “if there is not a quick end to this war adventure of Trump and Netanyahu, “I fear that the consequences will come abruptly and severely in energy, economic and social terms.”
Finally, he pointed out that this war “is a shock to the international system that has not had the endorsement of the UN”, he recalled that there is an open war in Europe and another in the Middle East and that “everything is being complicated by the way in which the US is exercising its power.”
