The United States has bombarded Iranian nuclear facilities of ISFAHÁN, NATANZ AND FORDO In the last hours, in what is a more twist in the Power of the Middle East than from the October 7, 2023 -When Hamas attacked Israel- live an unprecedented recesal.
Donald Trump had warned that he would take a couple of weeks to decide whether or not he intervened in the growing conflict that Israel and Iran were maintaining. However, the military operation carried out this morning and has been qualified as “military success,” has caught the entire world by surprise. In fact, it opens a range of possibilities in terms of reactions and consequences.
Jewish attack keys to Iran
The situation of Israel
Israel is the main ally of the United States in the Middle East And since 2023 he is battle against different militias such as Hamas or Hizbulá In a war without barracks and that has had intelligence operations of unusual sophistication, such as the detonation of Walkie-Talkies or looking for guerrilla leaders installed in Lebanon. Also, Netanyahu seems to have made the decision not to leave one stone on another in Gaza while a single Hamas soldier continues to breathe.
However, wars have a social, economic and logistics cost enormous. Israel is known at war for its intelligencewhich receives a great help from the United States; his response capacityit has the most advanced media in the region; and for his Iron domeyour anti -emissile shield. For two years, specifically since October 7, Israel has been repelting attacks with its armor, which is divided into three levels equipped with different types of ammunition that are exhausted slowly and must be replaced.
Precisely, in recent weeks it has been possible to verify that the so -called ‘David’s shield’ is not infallible and that before Iran’s mass attacks, its response capacity is reduced. That is why, given the possibility that he could collapse, the United States has decided to attack Iran to leave his ally.
The energy issue
After the wars of Iraq and Afghanistan, Iran has become the great enemy of the United States in the Middle East and that although they kept a good diplomatic relationship with the SAH regime of Persia, the Islamic Revolution of 1979 He promulgated, not only a setback of freedoms, but an animosity that has increased over the years against the West and its greatest exponent, United States.
Starting from that base and adding the fact that Iran is the fourth largest oil producer in the worldyou can understand why Donald Trump has decided to attack the country. Instead, Iran has a asset in his favor in terms of commercial interests: The Ormuz Straitthe river route through which 20% of crude oil and 25% of the world gas are transported. However, given the importance of this enclave, it is highly guarded by the international community, so Iran must be careful with its operations if you do not want to suffer more reprisals.
But if an energy worries in Iran is not oil or gas, but nuclear energy and atomic pumps. Before the beginning of the conflict between Israel and Iran, Netanyahu claimed that the Shii country had the ability to manufacture 15 atomic bombs whose objective would be the Jewish state. That is why the United States has decided continue with your nuclear programobjective that pursue since the beginning of the century.
Ayatollah regime weakness
In the Middle East there are two major military and commercial alliances. One of them is the one that maintains United States with Israel (Jews), on the one hand, and on the other with Sunni countries such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates (Muslims), which allows him to have great control of the Middle East at the military (Israel) and commercial level (Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates), since the two greatest enemies of Iran -israel and Saudi Arabia- play in their favor.
The other great alliance is what forms the so -called ‘Resistance axis’ and that make up Iran, Hizbulá, Hamas, Iraqi and Hutíes militias. If we look back, Israel has ended the Hizbulá dome, in addition, it keeps Hamas at Raya in Gaza and the Iraqi and Hutis militias do not represent a threat. Likewise, in recent weeks he has managed to delay the Ayatollah regime, therefore, with a little help from his main ally, they could advise a definitive blow to Shiite power.
A government that is being threatened for years by different internal protests of citizens who oppose themselves to continue living under the yoke of the theocratic administration and that combined with the revolt messages that it launches PAHLAVI, son of the last SAH of PersiA, they could assume the end of an era in Iran.
