Three years after the beginning of the war in Ukraine, the conflict has entered a new stage with the return of Donald Trump to the White House, with which a redefinition of US support to kyiv was feared. And now he has gone further with his plan to reach an end in consensus with Putin. Even if formal negotiations are initiated, Moscow has already ensured key concessions: the territorial integrity of Ukraine has been broken and its entry into the vetoed NATO.
Calling this “peace negotiation” process is, at least, optimistic. What is outlined It is a closed door between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia, where they will agree on the terms of a surrender which will later be presented to Zelenski that will have remained in an extremely weak position.
Mark Rutte, the new NATO general secretary, has urged European countries to address kyiv’s requests and warns that the old continent must prepare to guarantee its own defense with a drastic increase in military spending.
USA ‘jumps’ to the EU
There is the big change. The United States is no longer the guarantor of the security of Europe, and the EU, Far from having a voice in the conversations about the future of Ukraine, you can only observe from the barrier If Trump’s script continues.
His recent call with Putin has been performed in Moscow as the first Kremlin diplomatic victory since the beginning of the conflict. “Trump has done exactly what Putin expected: Negotiate the future of Ukraine without Ukraine, “says a Russian analyst who collects the Guardian media.
For Ukraine, the panorama is bleak. Zelenski, who at the time managed to mobilize the support of the West, now finds that Washington and Moscow have assumed the total control of their country’s destiny. Trump did not even consider it necessary first with the Ukrainian president before communicating with Putin, A gesture that was enthusiastically received by Russian state media.
Meanwhile, in Europe the concern is multiplied. The possibility that Trump accepts a proposal that includes the withdrawal of military support to Ukraine, the permanence of the territories occupied in Russian hands and the imposition of military limitations to kyiv, leaves the continent before a crossroads. The EU, who opted to contain the Russian aggression with sanctions and arms support, now faces the risk that the White House imposes a new reality: Russian victory
Meanwhile, in Moscow, optimism grows. The Russian market has reacted with euphoria before the possibility of an agreement that relieves sanctions. “Putin opted and won”they point out Russian entrepreneurs. Europe while relegated to a spectator position, and with an Atlantic alliance that has nothing to do with what existed at the beginning of the conflict.