After the start of the bombings of Iran by the United States and Israel, everything is uncertainty. Total war in the region? New regime in Iran? Global economy shock? Although we do not know what will come, we do know what is ending. I summarize you in three things.
It is the end of diplomacy, for example. Trump again attacked a country with which he was negotiating, such as in Venezuela, when Trump was negotiating with Maduro before stopping him. Also with Ayatollah Khamenei. The day before killing him, Vice President JD Vance said in Washington that “a peace agreement was within reach.” With diplomacy as an alibi to start wars, without even permission from Congress, who is going to negotiate with Trump? Maybe there is no other choice, he manages the most powerful army in the world, but let’s not call it diplomacy.
It is also the end of trust and credibility. Let’s see, it’s not that Trump had much. But his lies did not harm his popularity among his people. This may change now that many Trumpists feel cheated. From America First, to reorganizing the world. Trump promised that he would not send American soldiers to die in distant regimes. This Sunday he said that “unfortunately” several soldiers have died and that “probably” there will be more.
Meanwhile, while he bombs them, he asks the Iranians to take care of their own transition against a bloodthirsty regime.
And speaking of credibility, Trump said he started the bombings because Iran was about to get the atomic bomb. But last year he said he had “completely” eliminated Iran’s nuclear program. Iran has been two weeks away from having nuclear bombs for 30 years.
And the markets? Another ending. The end of oil price stability is skyrocketing today. Whether it is a scare or a deep shock depends on how long the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The worst case scenario? That Iran attacks the energy infrastructure of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the Emirates. That would raise the prices of everything at once, everywhere.
Moral?
US attacks Iran
without even having a plan
